Number of participants and mean (SD) risk in four year predicted risk categories based on coronary heart disease risk appraisal models from the Framingham study published in 1991³ and 2000⁴

1991 models
2000 models: risk category*

Risk category*
Mean (SD)
<2
$>=$ 2, <4
$>=$ 4, <5
$>=$ 5, <6
$>=$ 6, <8
$>=$ 8, <10
$>=$ 10
All
%

Men

Mean (SD) N/A 1.2 (0.43) 2.9 (0.58) 4.5 (0.29) 5.5 (0.30) 6.9 (0.55) 8.9 (0.58) 15.8 (6.57) 4.4 (4.53) N/A

<2 1.0 (0.52) 812 61 0 0 0 0 0 873 34.0

$>=$ 2, <4 3.0 (0.58) 74 504 21 1 0 0 0 600 23.3

$>=$ 4, <5 4.5 (0.29) 0 118 57 12 5 0 0 192 7.5

$>=$ 5, <6 5.5 (0.29) 0 53 76 53 15 0 0 197 7.7

$>=$ 6, <8 6.9 (0.56) 0 0 53 77 89 20 2 241 9.4

$>=$ 8, <10 9.0 (0.55) 0 0 0 14 108 41 14 177 6.9

$>=$ 10 13.9 (3.86) 0 0 0 0 21 70 200 291 11.3

All 4.6 (4.31) 886 736 207 157 238 131 216 2571 100

% N/A 34.5 28.6 8.0 6.1 9.3 5.1 8.4 100 N/A

Women

Mean (SD) N/A 0.8 (0.53) 2.8 (0.57) 4.5 (0.27) 5.5 (0.30) 6.8 (0.57) 8.9 (0.51) 13.9 (2.81) 1.8 (2.01) N/A

<2 0.7 (0.56) 1831 125 4 2 2 0 0 1964 66.6

$>=$ 2, <4 2.8 (0.56) 228 294 34 10 3 0 0 569 19.3

$>=$ 4, <5 4.5 (0.28) 9 102 27 12 7 0 1 158 5.4

$>=$ 5, <6 5.4 (0.29) 2 37 17 13 4 1 0 74 2.5

$>=$ 6, <8 6.8 (0.56) 1 17 29 23 27 6 2 105 3.6

$>=$ 8, <10 8.8 (0.60) 0 1 6 7 9 9 6 38 1.3

$>=$ 10 12.3 (1.92) 0 1 0 3 9 10 16 39 1.3

All 1.9 (2.25) 2071 577 117 70 61 26 25 2947 100

% N/A 70.3 19.6 4.0 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.8 100 N/A

Weighted $kappa$ (95% CI): men 0.83 (0.82 to 0.84); women 0.67 (0.65 to 0.69). N/A=not applicable. ^*Number of coronary heart disease events per 100 population.