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Julia Hippisley-Cox a Division of General Practice,
University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD, b Department of General Practice and Primary Health Care,
University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester LE5 4PW Correspondence to: J Hippisley-Cox
julia.hippisley-cox{at}nottingham.ac.uk
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Abstract |
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Objectives:
To determine whether there are
important differences in performance between group practices and
singlehanded general practitioners and the extent to which any
differences are explained by practice characteristics such as deprivation.
Design:
Cross sectional survey.
Setting:
206 singlehanded practices and 606 partnerships in Trent region, United Kingdom.
Method:
Comparison of process and outcome measures derived from routinely collected data on hospital admissions and target
payments for singlehanded practices and partnerships. Multivariate analysis was used to adjust for the confounding effects of general practice characteristics
deprivation (Townsend score), percentage of
Asian residents, percentage of black residents, proportion of men over
75 years, proportion of women over 75 years, rurality, presence of a
female general practitioner, and vocational training status.
Results:
Differences in achievement of
immunisation and cytology targets apparent on univariate analysis were
not seen after adjustment for other general practice characteristics. Similarly, significant differences (>15%; P<0.01) for three types of
hospital admission seen on univariate analysis were not present after
adjustment for other practice characteristics.
Conclusions:
This study provides no evidence that
singlehanded general practitioners are underperforming clinically. Our
results offer insight into the structural difference between the two
types of practice and underline the importance of the effect of other practice characteristics on process and outcome measures.
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What is already known on this topic
What this study adds
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Introduction |
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Ten per cent of all general practitioners are single handed. Patients like singlehanded practices because of good communication, personal rapport, and availability and for the continuity of care they provide.1-3 Small practices are seen by their patients to be more accessible,4 are preferred by patients,5 and achieve higher levels of patient satisfaction.6 Singlehanded doctors are very satisfied with their solo status and do not wish to join partnerships. 3 7 However, the NHS Plan will have a particular impact on singlehanded general practice through either a negotiated change to the "red book" or a new national personal medical services contract into which all singlehanded general practitioners will be transferred by 2004.8 The NHS Plan recognises that the vast majority of singlehanded doctors work hard and are committed to their patients but comments that they can work in relative clinical isolation without the ready support from colleagues enjoyed by general practitioners in larger practices. The changes are intended to reduce professional isolation and protect quality standards.8
Like the contractual threat to singlehanded practice,9 these concerns about quality standards are not new. However, there is limited evidence on which to base them. Singlehanded general practitioners tend to work in areas of high deprivation and need,9 and deprivation is known to affect rates of referral,10 emergency admissions, 11 12 night visits,13 and patient consultations.14
Our aim was to determine whether there are important differences in
performance between group practices and singlehanded general practitioners and to assess the extent to which these are explained by
practice characteristics such as deprivation.
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Method |
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We obtained approval for the study from the multicentre research ethics committee and the local research ethics committee. We identified all 206 singlehanded practices and 606 partnerships existing in Trent region (excluding South Humber) on 1 April 1998. We obtained data on practice characteristics and population distributions (Körner age bands) from the NHS Executive, Quarry House, Leeds. We defined singlehanded general practitioners as general practitioner principals who were not in partnership with other general practitioner principals.
General practitioner, practice, and population characteristics
We compared the sex distribution and mean age of
singlehanded general practitioners with those of general practitioners
in partnership. We compared the proportion of each type of practice
that were involved in general practitioner training, fundholding,
dispensing, child health surveillance, and providing personal
medical services and the proportion that were members of the Trent
Focus collaborative research network. We compared the Carstairs
rurality score linked to the electoral ward of the general practitioner
surgery postcode for the two types of practice.15 We
examined the age-sex structure of the practice populations and compared
the list size per whole time equivalent general practitioner and per
whole time equivalent nurse. Given the potential confounding effect of
deprivation on admission rates and other performance indicators and
outcome measures, we collected data for the Townsend score associated
with the electoral ward where the main general practitioner surgery was
located. We chose to use Townsend score associated with electoral ward
for our main analysis as it most closely adheres to the concept of
material deprivation.16 We collected data for the
percentage of black people and percentage of Asian people in the
electoral ward associated with the general practitioner's main surgery.
Assessment of performance and health outcome measures
We selected performance and outcome measures that were
relevant to general practice and measurable with routinely available
data.
17 18
We identified all relevant hospital admissions between 1 April 1993 and 31 March 1997 by searching the NHS hospital admissions database for Trent region. We were unable to access data for
deaths linked to general practice other than those occurring during
inpatient admissions. We were also unable to access data for measures
of cost effective prescribing. We grouped the indicators and outcome
measures under five published headings.
17 18
Proportion of
practices that achieved target payments for immunisations, preschool boosters, and cervical cytology for three successive quarters in
1998-9.
Chronic care management
Admission rates for asthma
(international classification of diseases code 493; Office of
Population Censuses and Surveys code J45-6), diabetes (250; E10-14),
and epilepsy (345; G40-1).
Avoidable admissions
Admission rates for ear, nose, and
throat infections (381-2; H66), urinary tract infections (590, 599.0; N39.0, N15.1, N15.9), and congestive cardiac failure (428; I50).
Inappropriate surgery
Operation rates for dilatation and
curettage (Q10.3, Q10.8, Q10.9) in women under 40 years; operation rates for grommet surgery (D15.1).
Health outcomes
Teenage pregnancy rates (ages 13-19 years).19
Statistical analysis
We used Poisson regression to estimate rate ratios with
95% confidence intervals for the admission rates for singlehanded
general practitioners compared with partnerships (Stata Statistical
Software version 5, Stata Corporation, College Station, TX). A rate
ratio greater than one indicates a higher admission rate in
singlehanded practices, and a rate ratio less than one indicates a
lower rate. We included the following variables in the multivariate
Poisson regression analysis: Townsend score, percentage of black
residents, percentage of Asian residents, proportions of men and women
over 75 years, rurality, presence of a female general practitioner, and
vocational training status. For binary outcome variables (such as
whether or not a practice attained higher targets for immunisation),
logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios with 95%
confidence intervals (SPSS version 10). We used multiple logistic
regression to adjust for Townsend score, percentages of black and Asian
residents, proportions of men and women over 75 years, rurality,
presence of a female general practitioner, and training status. We
decided that a greater than 15% difference in admission rates would be clinically important. We selected the 0.01 two tailed significance level.
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achievement of targets and admissions for diabetes.
20 21
These were chosen because they represent
variables over which general practitioners are most likely to have control.
Target achievement
For a comparison of proportions between
the partnerships and singlehanded practices with available data, the
study has 97% power to detect a relative difference in proportions of
15% or more at the 0.01 level for immunisation under the age of 1 year
and a 99% power for cytology. For preschool boosters, the study has
43% power to detect a relative difference in proportions of 15% at
the 0.01 level or 80% power to detect a relative difference in
proportions of 22% at the 0.01 level.
Diabetes admissions
Using a mean rate of 38.1 admissions
per 10 000 patients over the four years, with 606 partnerships and 206 singlehanded practices, the study has an 80% power to detect a
difference in rates of
15% at the 0.01 two sided significance level.
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Results |
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On 1 April 1998, 206 (25.4%) of the 812 practices in Trent region were single handed. Of the 4.9 million patients registered with practices in Trent, 9.7% were registered with a singlehanded general practitioner.
General practitioner, practice, and population characteristics
Table 1 shows the characteristics of the general
practitioners, practices, and populations. Singlehanded general
practitioners were on average eight years older than general practitioners in partnerships. Partnerships were more likely to train
general practitioners and to offer child health surveillance. Singlehanded general practitioners had larger list sizes per whole time
equivalent general practitioner than did partnerships. Data for
practice nurses were available for only 68% (413/606) of partnerships and 59% (121/206) of singlehanded practices as two health authorities were unable to provide these data. Where data were available, 14% of
singlehanded practices did not have a practice nurse compared with 3%
of partnerships (
2=24.3, df=1, P<0.0001). The
age-sex structure of the population registered with singlehanded
practices was similar to that for partnerships (table 1). Singlehanded
practices served more deprived populations.
Assessment of performance and health outcome measures
Disease prevention and health promotion
Table 2 shows the data for meeting contractual targets for immunisations under the age of 1 year, cytology, and preschool boosters. Data for
immunisations under age 1 were available from all 10 health authorities, whereas data for preschool boosters and cytology were
available from only eight health authorities. Although there were
significant differences in the proportions of singlehanded practices
achieving higher targets for immunisations under age 1 and cytology
compared with partnerships on univariate analysis, neither of these
differences persisted at the 0.01 significance level after adjustment
for other practice characteristics. Table 3 shows the mean
hospital admission rates per 10 000 population for singlehanded
general practitioners compared with partnerships for the four year
period 1993-7. Table 4 shows the admission rate ratios before and
after adjustment for other practice
characteristics.
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Singlehanded general practitioners
had 23% higher admission rates for both asthma and epilepsy on univariate analysis, but these were only 8% and 9% higher once adjustment had been made for other practice characteristics (table 4).
There were no important differences in admission rates for diabetes on
univariate or multivariate analysis.
Avoidable admissions
The admission rates for ear, nose, and
throat infections, urinary tract infections, and congestive cardiac failure were not significantly different on multivariate analysis (table 4).
Inappropriate surgery
There was no important difference in
the surgery rates for grommets on univariate or multivariate analysis (table 3). Singlehanded practices had 13% higher admissions for dilatation and curettage for women aged under 40, although this was
reduced to 1% and was no longer significant after adjustment for other
practice characteristics in the multivariate analysis (table 4).
Health outcomes
Singlehanded practices had 19%
higher teenage pregnancy rates compared with partnerships on univariate
analysis but only 3% higher rates after adjustment for other practice characteristics.
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Discussion |
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This study has important limitations. It is based on routinely collected data on hospital admissions and general practitioners' target payments. Although we have adjusted for deprivation as a census derived variable, we were not able to adjust for more subtle population characteristics (such as smoking habits) or to link these findings to clinical activity within the practices. We have no data on the arrangements for covering patient care out of hours. We were not able to include private referrals as these data are not collected systematically and are therefore not routinely available. We had no data from two health authorities for nurse time, preschool boosters, and cytology. The link between performance indicators, including those for outcomes, and the clinical activity of individual doctors or groups of doctors is unclear, so interpretation must be cautious.22 However, given the current debate about singlehanded practices arising from the publication of the NHS Plan,8 these findings are worth exploring, albeit with caution.
The demographic characteristics of singlehanded practices shown here match expectations. Singlehanded doctors are on average older than those in partnerships and more likely to be male. Singlehanded practices are less likely to be involved in vocational training or child health surveillance, have higher list sizes per general practitioner, and are less likely to have a practice nurse. Singlehanded general practitioners work in more deprived areas of Trent.
At first sight, screening uptake seems to be lower in singlehanded practices. We recognise that it is harder for small singlehanded practices to reach immunisation and cytology targets, as it only takes a few patients to drop out for the overall percentage to drop considerably when the denominator is small. However, target achievement does not differ between singlehanded general practitioners and partnerships once other practice characteristics have been taken into account. This is despite the change in the remuneration for health promotion activity in primary care in 1993, which led to fewer payments for singlehanded general practitioners and those whose surgeries were located in electoral wards with high deprivation indices.23
We have found no evidence in this study that singlehanded general
practitioners are underperforming clinically. Rather, our results offer
insight into the structural differences between these two types of
practice and underline the importance of the effect of practice
characteristics on process and outcome measures. For instance, three
types of admission met our criteria for an important difference (a 15%
difference in admission rates significant at the 0.01 level) on
univariate analysis. However, after adjustment for deprivation, the
percentage of black and Asian residents, the proportion of patients
over 75 years, rurality, the presence of a female general practitioner,
and vocational training status there were no remaining substantial differences.
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Acknowledgments |
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Andy Nicholson and Howard Chapman from NHS Executive Trent helped with the extraction of the admissions data, and Maura Bell helped to process the ethical approval.
Contributors: JH-C initiated and designed the study, obtained ethical approval, undertook the literature search, designed and carried out the data collection and manipulation, the data analysis, and interpretation of results, and contributed to drafting the paper. MP contributed to the study design and interpretation and contributed to drafting the paper. CC contributed to the data analysis and interpretation. VH contributed to the study design and data collection. AW contributed to the study design and interpretation. JH-C is the guarantor for the paper.
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Footnotes |
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Funding: None.
Competing interests: None declared.
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(Accepted 24 May 2001)
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